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"Sell it Softly"
Persuasively promoting American values and culture will work better
than either carrots or threats to influence the Middle East
by Joseph
S. Nye Jr.
Los Angeles Times
April 25, 2004
CAMBRIDGE, Mass. — Power, simply put, is the ability to influence
others to get what you want. Nations need power because without it
they have a difficult time advancing their goals. But there are ultimately
three main ways for a nation to achieve power: by using or threatening
force; by
inducing compliance with rewards; or by using "soft power" — attracting followers
through the strength of a country's values and culture. When a country can induce
others to follow by employing soft power, it saves a lot of carrots and sticks.
This is a lesson the United States needs to keep in
mind.
We won the Cold War in part by deterring Soviet aggression with
our hard military power. But the Soviet Union's final dissolution
came only after we also began to effectively employ soft power. Ultimately,
people in Eastern Europe and Russia were attracted to Western values
through exchange programs, better diplomatic relations and broadcasts
that penetrated the Iron Curtain.
Since Sept. 11, it has become commonplace
to say that the United States is engaged in a war of ideas for
the hearts and minds of moderate Arabs. To win that war, we will
have
to become more adept at wielding soft power in the
region.
The greatest challenge to the United States today comes from radical
Islamist ideology, in particular from the fundamentalist Wahhabi
sect, which originated in 18th century Saudi Arabia and has grown
more powerful in recent decades. Radical Islamists are expert in
the use of soft power, attracting people to their ranks through charities
that address basic needs and through religious institutions that
form the backbones of communities.
Support for radical Islam has
been consistently provided by Saudi Arabia, where the ruling family
agreed to propagate Wahhabism as a means of placating clerics.
The royal family's support of Wahhabism was itself an exercise in
soft
power. Because Saudi funding came from both government ministries
and private charities, it is practically impossible to estimate
the total amount of payments. One expert testified to Congress that
the
Saudis had spent roughly $70 billion on aid projects after the
oil boom of the 1970s, much of it funneled through radical Islamic
groups,
and others report that the Saudis sponsored 1,500 mosques and 2,000
schools worldwide, from Indonesia to France. These institutions
often displaced more-moderate and less-well-funded interpretations
of Islam.
Even if the numbers are heavily inflated, they dwarf the $150 million
that the U.S. spends annually on public diplomacy in the Islamic
world.
Soft power is not a panacea, of course. It is difficult to control — as
the
Saudi royal family has discovered — and can have unintended consequences. Organized
religious movements of all stripes, including Christian, Buddhist and Muslim,
have used soft power for centuries to attract millions of people to their teachings.
But soft power can also attract people to malevolent religious organizations
and networks.
Ultimately, the soft power of Wahhabism has not proved to be a
resource that the Saudi government can control or use to obtain favorable outcomes.
It has become a Frankenstein's monster, returning to haunt its creator. The
radicals regard the royal family as corrupt and in league with Western
infidels. They
aim to overthrow or disrupt the government, as demonstrated by the 2003 terrorist
attacks on residential compounds and the bombing that ripped apart a police
headquarters in Riyadh last week. The royal family's bargain with
the Wahhabist clerics backfired
because the soft power of Islamic radicalism has flowed in the direction of
Osama bin Laden and his
goal of overthrowing the Saudi government.
A snapshot of this situation was captured by polls taken shortly
after the Iraq war. Pluralities in Indonesia, Jordan, Pakistan, Morocco
and the Palestinian Territories said they had a lot or some confidence
in Bin Laden to do the right thing regarding world affairs. In those
same countries, more people had more confidence in Bin Laden than
in George W. Bush or Tony Blair. The fact that Bin Laden inspires
confidence sends a clear message to Americans about the soft power
of our sworn enemy.
Hard military power is not a sufficient response.
Soft power must also be fought with soft power. Americans and others
must find better ways of projecting our soft power to attract moderate
Muslims.
Effective public diplomacy requires three strategies. First, we
need to respond much more quickly with American interpretations of
events. The establishment of Arabic language broadcasting units like
Radio Sawa and satellite television channel Al Hurra, both of which
intersperse news with popular programming, was a good first step
for the U.S. Now we must learn to work more effectively with Arab
news media such as Al Jazeera, which is a trusted news source for
many Arabic speakers.
Second, like any entity trying to get a message
out, we have to decide which key strategic themes to emphasize.
One real need is to better articulate American policies and to explain
how they relate to the values of moderate Muslims. For example,
the
charge that U.S. policies are indifferent to the killings of Muslims
can be addressed by pointing to American interventions that saved
Muslims in Bosnia and Kosovo, as well as assistance to Islamic
countries to foster development and combat AIDS. As Assistant Secretary
of
State William Burns pointed out last year, public diplomacy must
be
accompanied by "a wider positive agenda for the region, alongside rebuilding
Iraq; achieving the president's two-state vision for Israelis and Palestinians;
and modernizing Arab economies."
Finally, and most important, we must develop a long-term strategy
of cultural and educational exchanges aimed at creating a richer
and more open civil society in Middle Eastern countries. The most
effective spokespersons for the United States are not Americans but
indigenous surrogates who understand America's virtues as well as
its faults. Visa policies that have cut back on the number of Muslim
students in the United States do us more harm than good.
Much of
the work of developing an open civil society can be promoted by
corporations, foundations, universities and other nonprofit organizations,
as well
as by governments. Companies and foundations can offer technology
to help modernize Arab education. American universities can establish
more exchange programs for students and faculty. Foundations can
support the development of American studies in Muslim countries,
or programs that enhance the professionalism of journalists. Governments
can support the
teaching of English and finance student exchanges.
Only when we learn to combine this type of soft power with our hard
power
will we succeed in meeting the challenge of Islamist terrorism.
Copyright 2004 Los Angeles Times
Joseph S. Nye Jr. is dean of Harvard's Kennedy School
of Government and
author of "Soft Power: The Means to Success in World Politics."
This file was updated on April 27,
2004
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