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"U.S. Slips
in Attracting the World's Best Students"
By SAM DILLON
New York Times
December 21, 2004
American universities,
which for half a century have attracted the world's best and brightest
students with little effort, are suddenly facing intense competition
as higher education undergoes rapid globalization.
The European
Union, moving methodically to compete with American universities,
is streamlining
the continent's higher education system and offering American-style
degree programs taught in English. Britain, Australia and New Zealand
are aggressively recruiting foreign students, as are Asian centers
like Taiwan and Hong Kong. And China, which has declared that transforming
100 universities into world-class research institutions is a national
priority, is persuading top Chinese scholars to return home from
American universities.
"What we're starting to see in terms of international
students now having options outside the U.S. for high-quality education
is just the tip of
the
iceberg," said David G. Payne, an executive director of the Educational Testing
Service, which administers several tests taken by foreign students to gain admission
to American universities. "Other countries are just starting to expand their
capacity for offering graduate education. In the future, foreign students will
have far greater opportunities."
Foreign students contribute $13 billion to the
American economy annually. But this year brought clear signs that the United
States' overwhelming dominance of international higher education may be ending.
In July, Mr. Payne briefed the National Academy of Sciences on a sharp plunge
in the number of students from India and China who had taken the most recent
administration of the Graduate Record Exam, a requirement for applying to
most graduate schools; it had dropped by half.
Foreign applications
to American graduate
schools declined 28 percent this year. Actual foreign graduate student
enrollments dropped 6 percent. Enrollments of all foreign students,
in undergraduate,
graduate and postdoctoral programs, fell for the first time in
three decades in an annual
census released this fall. Meanwhile, university enrollments have been
surging in England, Germany and other countries.
Some of the American
decline, experts
agree, is due to post-Sept. 11 delays in processing student visas, which
have discouraged thousands of students, not only from the Middle
East but also from
dozens of other nations, from enrolling in the United States. American
educators and even some foreign ones say the visa difficulties
are helping foreign
schools increase
their
share of the market.
"International education is big business for all of the
Anglophone countries, and the U.S. traditionally has dominated the market without
having to try very hard," said Tim O'Brien, international development director
at Nottingham Trent University in England. "Now Australia, the U.K., Ireland,
New Zealand and Canada are competing for that dollar, and our lives have been
made easier because of the difficulties that students are having getting into
the U.S.
"International students say it's not worth queuing up for two days outside
the U.S. consulate in whatever country they are in to get a visa when they can
go to the U.K. so much more easily."
American educators have been concerned since
the fall of 2002, when large numbers of foreign students experienced
delays in visa processing.
But few noticed the rapid emergence of higher education as a
global industry
until
quite recently. "Many U.S. campuses have not yet geared up for the competition," said
Peggy Blumenthal, a vice president at the Institute for International Education.
Still, Ms. Blumenthal said, it remains unclear whether the sudden
decline in foreign enrollments is a one-time drop or the beginning
of a long slide.
Not
all educators are expressing concern.
Steven B. Sample, president
of the University of Southern California - which last year had
6,647 foreign students, the most
of any American university - said colleagues who lead other universities
had expressed anxiety at
professional meetings.
"But we compete no holds barred among ourselves for the
best faculty, for students, for gifts and for grants, and that's one of the reasons
for
our
strength," Dr. Sample said. "Now we'll compete with some overseas universities.
Fine with me, bring 'em on."
Certainly many American universities continue to
be extraordinary global brand names. Shanghai Jiao Tong University
has compiled an online academic ranking of 500 world universities,
using criteria like the
number of Nobel Prizes won by faculty members and academic articles
published (ed.sjtu.edu.cn/rank/2004/2004Main.htm). Of the top 20
on the list, 17 are American.
Of the top 500, 170 are American.
During 2002, the most recent
year for which comparable figures are available, some 586,000 foreign
students were enrolled
in United States universities, compared with about 270,000
in Britain, the world's second-largest higher education destination,
and 227,000 in Germany, the third-largest.
Foreign enrollments increased by 15 percent that year in Britain,
and in Germany by 10 percent.
The countries exporting the most
students
were China, South Korea
and India, but the annual global migration to overseas universities
involves two million students from many countries traveling in
many directions. That number
is exploding - by some estimates it will quadruple by 2025
- as economic growth produces millions of new middle-class students
across Asia.
In October, the Organization
for Economic Development and Cooperation, an economic forum
for
30 leading industrial nations, took note of this
global
movement in a study. Stéphan Vincent-Lancrin, an analyst at the organization's
headquarters in Paris and an author of the study, said that traditionally most
countries, including the United States, had tried to attract foreign students
as a way of disseminating their nation's core values. But three other strategies
emerged in the 1990's, Dr. Vincent-Lancrin said. Countries with aging populations
like Canada and Germany, pursuing a "skilled migration" approach, have sought
to recruit talented students in strategic disciplines and to encourage them to
settle after graduation. Germany subsidizes foreign students so generously that
their education is free.
Australia and New Zealand, pursuing a "revenue generating" approach, treat higher
education as an industry, charging foreign students full tuition. They compete
effectively in the world market because they offer quality education and the
costs of attaining some degrees in those countries are lower than in the United
States. Emerging countries like India, China
and
Singapore, pursuing a "capacity building" approach, view study abroad by thousands
of their nation's students as a way of training future professors and researchers
for their own university systems, which are expanding rapidly, Dr. Vincent-Lancrin
said.
In August a delegation of education officials from Singapore visited
Mary Sue Coleman, the president of the University of Michigan, at
the Ann Arbor campus.
They took over a conference room, set up computers and peppered
her with questions about tuition policy, fund-raising, governance
and research, Dr. Coleman recalled.
They wanted to know how Michigan became a prominent university,
and how it was run today.
"Eventually they'll reap the benefits of this work," Dr. Coleman said. "Singapore
will create world-class universities. Other countries are taking the same approach.
We're going to have enormous competition. We'd
better be
prepared for it."
The rapid changes in India and China have special importance.
The number of Indian students in the United States has more
than doubled in a decade, to 80,000, the largest representation of
any country. The 62,000 students
from China make up the second-largest group. Graduate students
and degree holders from those countries play a critical role in American
science, engineering and
information technology research.
Some 28 percent fewer Indian
students applied to attend American graduate schools this fall
than last year, according to a
survey by the Council of Graduate Schools. This matched the
overall decline for all foreign students.
Rabindranath Panda, the
education consul at India's consulate
in New York, said that huge private investments in Indian
higher education in recent years had greatly increased options at
home for
Indian students, and that
those who wished to study abroad were increasingly looking
at universities not only in the United States and Britain but also
in France, Germany, Singapore
and elsewhere.
Higher education is undergoing even more sweeping
transformation in China. The number of students seeking a postsecondary
degree is expected to
rise to 16 million students by 2005 from 11 million in 2000
and to keep rising thereafter, according to a recent report by
the Organization for Economic Development
and Cooperation. Even if only a small minority of those new
students seek a foreign degree, they will enlarge their already
important presence at hundreds of overseas
universities.
But the new wave of Chinese students may not
wash into the United States. Educators say applicants from China
face more visa difficulties than
applicants from any country outside the Middle East.
One
reason, they say, appears to be that many Chinese students pursue
the science
disciplines that set off
a screening process known as Visa Mantis, intended to prevent
the transfer of sensitive technology. A Congressional study found
that during a three-month period
last year, more than half of all the Visa Mantis investigations
worldwide involved Chinese students. The especially long visa
delays experienced by Chinese students
are a major
irritant for many university presidents.
"Chinese students are getting heightened
scrutiny," said the president
of
Princeton University, Shirley M. Tilghman. "I've asked many people for the rationale,
but I've never gotten an answer that makes sense."
Chinese applications to American
graduate schools fell 45 percent this year, while several
European countries announced surges in Chinese
enrollment.
"We had an especially large increase in Chinese students," said Martina
Nibbeling-Wriessnig, a spokeswoman for the German Embassy in Washington.
The
United States is also losing some Chinese scholars, partly
because of China's strategic decision over the last decade to channel
special investments to 100
universities with a view to building them into world-class
research giants capable of winning Nobel Prizes.
In October, Dr. Coleman of the University of Michigan
visited Shanghai Jiao Tong University, which created the
online university ranking system and has also built a vast new campus.
Partly because Dr. Coleman is a
biochemist, her hosts took her to visit their new pharmacy
school. It had hired 16 professors, she said - all of them returned
from American universities.
But
not only Chinese universities are seeking to lure top faculty
members from American campuses.
"Baseball's World Series includes only American teams," said Michael
Crow,
president of Arizona State University. "But higher education is truly a world
series now, because we're competing for students and faculty against universities
all over the world."
Copyright 2004 The New York Times Company
This file was updated on December 22,
2004
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